US likely civil war, Coup Attempt
The CIA actually has a taskforce designed to try to predict where and when political instability and conflict is likely to break out around the world. It’s just not legally allowed to look at the US. That means we are blind to the risk factors that are rapidly emerging here.
CIA advisory panel says analysis applied to other countries shows US has ‘entered very dangerous territory’ The US is “closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe”
At the same time, three retired generals wrote in the Post that they were “increasingly concerned about the aftermath of the 2024 presidential election and the potential for lethal chaos inside our military”. Such concerns are growing around jagged political divisions deepened by former president Donald Trump’s refusal to accept defeat in the 2020 election.
Though Republican presidential nominees have won the popular vote only once since 1988, the GOP has by playing political hardball stocked the Supreme Court with conservatives, who outnumber liberals 6-3. All such factors & more, including a pandemic which has stoked resistance to government is contributing towards this ugly situation.
No one wants to believe that their beloved democracy is in decline, or headed toward war. US have passed through stages of “pre-insurgency” and “incipient conflict” and may now be in “open conflict”, beginning with the Capitol riot. US have become an “anocracy” – “somewhere between a democracy and an autocratic state”.
The US has fought a civil war, from 1861 to 1865 and against states which seceded in an attempt to maintain slavery.
With Republicans’ hold on the levers of power while in the electoral minority a contributing factor, “This crisis metastasises, throughout the system over time, so that it’s possible any close election will be claimed to be false and fraudulent.”
The retired generals who warned of conflict around the next election – Paul Eaton, Antonio Taguba and Steven Anderson – were less sanguine about the army. “As we approach the first anniversary of the deadly insurrection at the US Capitol,” they wrote, “we … are increasingly concerned about the aftermath of the 2024 presidential election and the potential for lethal chaos inside our military, which would put all Americans at severe risk. “In short: We are chilled to our bones at the thought of a coup succeeding next time.”